2026 Local Government Election Results: CSIR predicts that the DA will beat the ANC in Nelson Mandela Bay
The Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) predicts that the DA will beat the ANC in Nelson Mandela Bay, but the tables are turned in Buffalo City.
With 24.3% of the voting districts declared in the Nelson Mandela Bay Metro, it predicts that the DA will get 40.7% of the votes, followed by the ANC with 28.9% and EFF 5.3%
The tables are turned in the Buffalo City Metro, where the African National Congress is expected to beat the Democratic Alliance.
With 28.2% of the voting districts declared in the Buffalo City Metro, it predicts that the ANC will get 42.5% of the votes, followed by the DA with 19.8% and UDM 9.9%
The CSIR’s results forecast model uses samples from the official early results to predict the remaining results.
These predictions are updated continuously as more voting district results are released by the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC).
In the past, the CSIR’s early predictions were within 1 to 3 percentage points of the final national support levels for most leading parties.
As expected, the CSIR’s predictions became more accurate as more results were released.
These predictions are valuable to people who want to understand the likely outcome ahead of the official results announcement.
The Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) will announce the official results of the 2026 Local Government Elections only on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
The reason it takes so long is that it can only happen once all the ward and voting district results in a municipality have been announced.
The district announcements typically happen from late Thursday morning for small municipalities up until Saturday for the big metros.
During this period, CSIR results predictions will provide a clear picture of the expected final metro and municipal results.
“Our team will continue to monitor incoming results and update model outputs as more official election data becomes available,” the CSIR said.
CSIR’s national prediction
CSIR’s Western Cape prediction
CSIR’s Eastern Cape prediction
CSIR’s Mpumalanga prediction
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