2026 Election Results: CSIR projection shows the ANC losing significant support and the DA gaining support
The Council for Scientific and Industrial Research’s (CSIR’s) latest projection puts the ANC at 31.7%, the DA at 25.8%, MK at 9%, EFF at 6%, and ActionSA at 5%.
This prediction came after 13% of the vote was counted and is based on the CSIR’s results forecast model.
This results forecast model uses samples from the official early results to predict the remaining results.
The Council for Scientific and Industrial Research’s predictions are updated continuously, as more voting district results are released.
In the past, the CSIR’s early predictions were within 1 to 3 percentage points of the final national support levels for most leading parties.
As expected, the CSIR’s predictions became more accurate as more results were released.
These predictions are valuable to people who want to understand the likely outcome ahead of the official results announcement.
The Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) will announce the official results of the 2026 Local Government Elections only on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
The reason it takes so long is that it can only happen once all the ward and voting district results in a municipality have been announced.
The district announcements typically happen from late Thursday morning for small municipalities up until Saturday for the big metros.
During this period, CSIR results predictions will provide a clear picture of the expected final metro and municipal results.
“Our team will continue to monitor incoming results and update model outputs as more official election data becomes available,” the CSIR said.
CSIR prediction with 13% of the vote counted
Loading ...